Gunpowder Chronicles

Gunpowder Chronicles

POLITICS

After Grenell: The Pressure Changes, Not the Game

Grenell’s diminished standing marks not an end to external pressure, but a test of whether Balkan politics will be shaped by durable systems rather than proximity to power.

Michael Sheppard's avatar
Michael Sheppard
Feb 15, 2026
∙ Paid

The end of the Grenell era closes one channel of pressure - but it does not end the game. As informal power recedes from one figure, the Western Balkans now face a choice: accept a quieter version of the same politics, or insist on something fundamentally different.

The apparent political sidelining1 of Richard Grenell marks more than the decline of a single political operator. For the Western Balkans, it signals the possible end of a troubling era in which informal access, personal branding, and narrative pressure routinely substituted for accountable diplomacy.

For years, Grenell functioned less as a traditional envoy than as a power broker whose authority flowed from proximity to Donald Trump, not from durable institutional mandate2. That access allowed him to project influence deep into fragile political systems - most notably in Kosovo3 and Serbia4 - often with destabilising consequences.

The recent portrait published by the Daily Mail5, depicting Grenell as increasingly isolated in Wash…

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